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COMEX Faces Staggering Delivery Requests on March Contracts

Andrew Maguire and Craig Hemke break down the huge delivery requests on March COMEX contracts. Watch this week's Live from the Vault for: 5:05​ How is gold and silver price determined?8:35​ The history of gold and silver price manipulation12:00​ How to stop corruption in the gold and silver market18:04​ Wall Street Silver VS paper market corruption19:05​ Unallocated gold and silver scam explained26:41​ Physical price VS paper price28:13​ Current physical demand pressure will push prices parabolic29:59​ Wall Street Silver movement piling pressure on the COMEX41:57​ Delivery requests soaring on the COMEX52:30​ COMEX on the run54:16​ Unprecedented physical silver demand In this week’s Talking Gold blog, Andrew Maguire and TFMetalsReport founder, Craig Hemke, crunch the numbers on upcoming requests for COMEX Gold and Silver Futures delivery. March Gold Contracts Historically, the March contract presents very little volume or open interest. However, as the typically sleepy month draws to a close, we are observing huge delivery requests on the Gold Futures (GC) market. With only a few trading sessions remaining before March contracts expire, there are more than 30 tonnes of gold standing for delivery. March Silver Contracts In terms of March silver delivery contracts, there are 11,660 open contracts representing over 1813 tonnes of physical silver. To put that into perspective, the current figure is already 361 tonnes higer than the December contract, the biggest delivery month of the year to date. Watch Andrew Maguire share his forecast on how high gold and silver will go post-Basel III in last week’s Live from the Vault. Previous March Delivery Requests Craig takes a look back at previous March contracts underlines the significant uptake in delivery obligations targeted at the COMEX. Around the time the paper market broke, the COMEX delivered close to 2,900 March contracts. At the time, this level of delivery demand was extraordinary, with all March deliveries from 2015 to 2019 combined standing at around 800. As the March 2021 contract closes, we’re approaching an astonishing 10,000 contracts. With the exception of last year, the March 2021 delivery orders are set to be around 25 times the average. A cursory glance at these statistics shows the delivery requests on the COMEX have soared. According to Andrew Maguire and Craig Hemke, all signs indicate that the Gold and Silver Futures markets are coming under increasing stress as a delivery vehicle. Make sure you catch next week's Live from the Vault The opinions expressed in this publication are those of Andrew Maguire and do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.

Sam Briggs
Sam Briggs

26/03/2021

Why can’t SLV source enough silver?

Andrew Maguire explains why SLV can’t source enough silver bars to meet demand. Watch this week’s Live from the Vault for: How will Basel III affect the COMEX?: 02:23​​​ BIS scrambles to unwind unallocated positions: 12:18​ Catch 22 arbitrage trade in action last Friday: 16:44​ Banks stand for delivery on COMEX for April contracts: 18:47​ Why can’t SLV source enough physical silver?: 21:33​ The bullish silver set up explained: 24:55​ Astronomical 2023 gold and silver price targets: 28:02 Andrew Maguire believes significantly underpriced silver is behind BlackRock’s admission of potential difficulties in acquiring sufficient silver for iShares Silver Trust (SLV). What’s happening with SLV? The SLV prospectus now reads that BlackRock “may not be able to readily acquire sufficient amounts of silver,” required for the creation-redemption process behind the silver ETF. From a wholesale perspective, the statement translates as “SLV is unable to source enough wholesale 1000 oz silver bars to fill its baskets,” according to Andrew Maguire. As Andrew Maguire sees it, the availability of silver is not the cause of the issue. The precious metals expert attributes the shortage to the lack of “availability of silver at current diluted prices." Watch Andrew Maguire detail the unknown market entity that defended the silver pushback in last week’s Kinesis show ‘Live from the Vault' What's the wholesale price of silver? According to the wholesaler, there are “ample wholesale 1000 oz silver bars to supply to really fulfil every incoming SLV by order,” however, “the price would have to be significantly higher.” The precious metals expert believes that “every single ounce of SLV demanded could be easily fulfilled in allocated form at a true supply demand global wholesale offer price.” Andrew Maguire added, “if the price of silver was allowed to reflect true global supply demand fundamentals thousands of tons of physical silver could flow into the SLV.” However, the precious metals expert estimates that meeting current demand would require a silver price of “at least $30 - $40 per ounce.” Andrew Maguire's parting thoughts: These conditions present one of the most bullish setups in silver since June 2010 Make sure you catch next week's Live from the Vault. SUBSCRIBE The opinions expressed in this publication are those of Andrew Maguire and do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.

Sam Briggs
Sam Briggs

26/02/2021

Unknown market force defends Reddit-driven silver spike

Andrew Maguire reports insiders pushback against Reddit silver traders defended by an unknown market entity. Watch this week’s Live from the Vault for: Watch out COMEX Wall Street Silver are coming: 1:33​​ Reddit traders could drain COMEX supplies: 6:20​​ Comex physical in crosshairs for delivery in SI and GC: 8:51 Reddit physical silver stackers will drive prices higher: 10:30 Central bank physical demand tightening physical supply: 13:27 Tonnage of upcoming COMEX delivery orders revealed: 17:08 Russian central bank buying up gold: 28:40 Wholesale market update: 34:30​ Silver market footprints echo June 2010 rally: 48:34​ Red flags on SLV audits: 51:14 As a flood of Reddit-driven trade rallied silver last week, according to Andrew Maguire, market making insiders stepped in to aggressively defend their positions. However, reviewing the charts, the precious metals expert reports that the insiders’ orchestrated pushback was met with significant resistance. Initial pushback On Monday, 1st February, Andrew Magure reports the largely paper-driven Reddit gap was swallowed swiftly up by the officially orchestrated Banking of International Settlements-driven gap close. Andrew Maguire attributes the gap close to a substantial, coordinated 10% and 18% increase in house gold and silver margins, respectively. However, according to the precious metals expert, the insiders’ orchestrated spec clean-out was not entirely successful. Who was backing Thursday’s spike? In Andrew Maguire’s opinion, the silver footprints suggest an unknown entity came in very large on Thursday. The precious metals expert believes an unidentified market player front ran the first Reddit-driven spike, before defending this long position into the orchestrated rinse attempt. Despite market insiders best efforts, the gap left was never closed. Upon inspecting the charts, the long-time wholesaler believes somebody must have defended that position. The precious metals expert believes that this level will not be breached as this anonymous ‘whale’ is defending it with significant resources. Watch Andrew Maguire assess the long term impact of the ‘Silver Short Squeeze’ on the silver markets in last’s week’s Kinesis show ‘Live from the Vault’. Crucial silver levels maintained Andrew Maguire has stated that the crucial silver level that needs to be held was the important 26.225 Fibonacci retracement level. In spite of a significant attempt to knock silver back, the level remains intact. The precious metals expert believes all indications suggest that silver should now be refreshed for a sustainable physically-driven catch-up rally into the thirties, at least. Andrew Maguire's parting thought: Whether it's friend or foe, we don't know, that we can't say, but definitely the footprint say it was defended. Make sure you catch next week's Live from the Vault. SUBSCRIBE The opinions expressed in this publication are those of Andrew Maguire and do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.

Sam Briggs
Sam Briggs

12/02/2021

Silver short squeeze: the long-term impact on the silver markets

Andrew Maguire explores the long-term impact of the ‘Silver Short Squeeze’ phenomenon on the silver markets Watch this week’s Live from the Vault for: Impact on gold and silver markets: 05:31​ Should I trade SLV? 10:48​ Insiders gathering physical silver: 15:40​​ Disruption in Gold Futures 24:04​ Bullish conditions for gold 25:43 A look at the technicals 28:34​​ Where can you get physical? 31:08 Although the market swell of Reddit’s leveraged traders has subsided, Andrew Maguire anticipates that this week’s action will have a lasting impact on the silver market. With the global spotlight shining on billions of dollars of bearishly skewed, potentially vulnerable bets - what does this mean for silver going forward? Silver short squeeze market disruption Along with the rest of the world, market making insiders were clearly not prepared for this massive influx of Reddit-leveraged silver interest, according to Andrew Maguire. The precious metal expert explains that, historically, insiders have been able to take the short side of spec longs with impunity. As insiders are secure in the knowledge of the pain points of those specs who borrowed longs, sitting on their books. However, Andrew Maguire reports that the sudden tidal wave of individually held SLV-focused interest made it extremely difficult for insiders to calculate these pain points. In Andrew Maguire’s opinion, such a large diverse swarm of buy flow, seeking thousands of tonnes of leveraged long options, threatened to take the lid off the entire silver capping manipulation process. Looking ahead, the precious metals expert believes such monumental external interest has the potential to shift risk-reward metrics, disincentivising the naked short selling of silver and gold. What does this mean for silver? As Andrew Maguire sees it, the degree of this week's unforeseeable open interest diminishes the leverage of First Majestic, as well as many other well-shorted silver related stocks. In turn, Andrew Maguire predicts this will weaken the insiders’ grip on the gold and silver stock index lever - a crucial component of their price capping strategy. The precious metals expert believes this upsurge of fresh open interest will bullishly dislodge the much larger and more liquid GC and SI anchors. Positions that have long been relied upon to maintain the insiders’ casino-like 95% win metric, according to the precious metals expert. In Andrew Maguire’s opinion, these changes will impact the way insiders position in SI and GC, with a particular focus on naked shorting silver, gold stocks and indexes. Andrew Maguire’s parting thought The dust has not settled, in fact, the storm is just beginning, and this undoubtedly will change the game forever. Next Episode: Andrew Maguire reassess the gold and silver markets in the wake of this week’s action. Make sure you catch next week's Live from the Vault. SUBSCRIBE The opinions expressed in this publication are those of Andrew Maguire and do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.

Sam Briggs
Sam Briggs

05/02/2021

Will Short Squeeze Affect Silver?

Who are Wallstreetbets, and how come a group of rogue Redditors is on everyone’s lips? What is short-selling and will it lead to a reexamining of the silver market value? This week in finances has undoubtedly belonged to WallStreetBets - a semi-anonymous, self-appointed Reddit collective of small investors. WallStreetBets first targeted GameStop, catapulting its shares from $18 to almost $480 over the course of 4 days, before swiftly moving its focus toward silver just a couple of days later, increasing its value by 20% practically overnight. The financial market was electrified by the unexpected yet utterly understandable revolt of the Redditors, who collaboratively diverted the market game, hitherto exclusive to the investment tycoons. But how was that possible, and what is the mechanism behind this trading frenzy? What is a Short Squeeze? The origin of the Squeeze spectacle has risen as a consequence of the short-selling practice - a perfectly legal yet morally dubious investment model based on speculating a decrease in value of a specific business. Shorting investors borrow a company's stock, immediately selling it, and - as the said institution marks down its price - return them to the lender, intending to pocket the difference. A fund model, resembling the self-serving attitude of a tiger on the prowl, predating vulnerable businesses, in the hope of benefiting from the market adversities. GameStop, a high-street game retailer, severely depleted by the pandemic, appeared to be attractive prey for professional shorters. This time, however, another player joined the game! A group of Redditors operating under the WallStreetBets name decided to step in, propelling the interest in antecedently undervalued shares and pumping its worth far beyond its forecasted price. Their concerted efforts reached a 2200% increase crescendo on January 28th, generating titanic losses to short-sellers and equally colossal media attention. A Silver-Tongued Devil As short-selling became the in-vogue term of the week, silver was suddenly thrust into the WallStreetBets group. The precious metals market responded immediately. A leveraged army of Redditors, interested in the highly undervalued SLV market, quickly jumped on the opportunity. Within one evening, silver reached its eight-year high and touched the $30 barrier for a brief moment, before it started correcting itself. Was that merely a distraction from the mainstream movement, aiming at the GME? A substantial percentage of WallStreetBets users are undoubtedly qualified to recognize a rare opportunity to revise silver’s unutilized potential. According to specialists, silver is a highly undervalued asset with an artificially lowered market worth. An overwhelming quantity of every-day use objects contains a stance of silver as its building block. How come, then, its tremendous industrial demand does not translate into its price? It seems like it’s time for the value of silver to be reexamined. But who are WallStreetBets? Who are they and what exactly fuels their agenda? They’re a Reddit based collaborative of amateur investors, conceived by Jaime Rogozinski in 2012. A group initially meant to counterbalance the conventional Wall Street forums by offering non-elitist access to financial information, which by the end of January grew to over 3.5 million strong. A group, distinctive in their sympathetic approach to investing and providing a commune spirit for the individual traders, but far too overgrown to be consciously administered. Simultaneously, moldable enough to be prone to unregulated insidious engineering and subsequently - provoked into relentless crusades, just like the unstoppable GME Squeeze we’ve just witnessed. Regardless of the traditional narrative propagated by the media, WallStreetBets are not necessarily single-handedly orchestrating the financial market coup. Their captivating payback was simply highlighting the issue that’s been well observed and well known by the financial analysts for years. Ultimately, the money market has collapsed under the weight of its own manipulation - WalllStreetBets merely happened to organize themselves at the right moment, tipping the domino that set off the chain of events. WallStreetBets - The Movie Even if the speculative rush is short-lived, it certainly shows the power of plenty that can be built when in the hands of organized, passionate amateurs. It shows that billionaire-owned hedge fund schemes can be perturbed when individuals recognize the scope of their potential. Why did they step in? Certainly not just for profit, but in order to take a stand against an excess of capitalistic might. Provoking a power shift in the financial market, in a heartening fashion that could easily serve as material for a movie script. What does the future hold? It most likely belongs to the individual investor, whose eyes are finally open not only to the stock market manipulation but also to the amplitude of its own influence. As of today, the WallStreetBets group ballooned from 3.5 to 8.4 million within a week, with the awareness of small traders constantly growing. The sudden surge of interest sparks another question - where will their focus move next? Whether it will be silver, or... could it be gold this time?

Natalie Laz
Natalie Laz

04/02/2021

Will the LBMA receive an exemption from Basel III rules?

Andrew Maguire addresses speculation around the LBMA’s attempt to avoid the sting of Basel III rules. Watch this week’s Live from the Vault for: BREAKING NEWS - Exclusive update on Basel III.January volatility explained - bullish conditions ahead.GLD and SLV - the paper market’s Achilles heel.Latest on Basel III impact on gold and silver price. In this week’s Talking Gold blog, Andrew Maguire breaks down the unquestionable impact of Basel III rules on the London Bullion Market Association (LBMA), alongside the rest of the global gold and silver market, on June 28th 2021. Basel III delay for LBMA? At the close of Q2 this year, Basel III will make unallocated gold trading impossibly expensive, with market makers experiencing an 85% haircut on each trade. With tens of thousands of tonnes of fractionally-held gold and silver cleared every year in the London market it’s no surprise that, as Andrew Maguire put it, the LBMA fought “tooth and nail” to obtain an exemption. Upon citing Covid-19 disruption as justification, the LBMA has been granted a 6-month delay before Basel III rules directly affect day-to-day trading. However, Andrew Maguire believes the key player in the Loco London market will feel the sting of Basel III long before 2022. Watch Andrew Maguire talk gold and silver price expectations for Q1 and Q2 201 in the last’s week’s fortnightly Kinesis show ‘Live from the Vault’. EU and Swiss Basel III implementation Andrew Maguire predicts Switzerland and the European Union’s adoption of Basel III rules in June, will expose the LBMA to these new standards despite the sanctioned delay. As the primary global physical trading hubs and refineries are centred in Switzerland and Europe, in Andrew Maguire’s opinion, the LBMA cannot completely escape the marketwide effects of this historic ruling. Additionally, all market-making LBMA bullion banks also have a physical presence in the EU and Switzerland. As Andrew Maguire sees it, the inseparable relationship between these pivotal bullion markets and the LBMA means there is no avoiding the impact of Basel III. The precious metals expert believes the new rules will still impact the hundreds of tonnes of unallocated gold cleared each day in the London market. What will this mean for the LBMA? In Andrew Maguire’s opinion, the differing regulation in the markets will open up a massive arbitrage opportunity, at the current diluted unallocated gold prices. Additionally, Andrew Maguire anticipates that LBMA banks, exposed to EU and Swiss compliance, will lose the ability to endlessly shuffle paper markets positions for settlement. As the implications of Basel III hit the market, the long-time wholesaler predicts a significantly higher gold and silver price into the second quarter of 2021. A prediction only strengthened by the industry-shifting information involving severalmajor European banks and Basel III rules, Andrew Maguire revealed in this week’s episode of Live from the Vault. Andrew Maguire’s parting thought: It's already obvious that no one, absolutely no one, is naked short gold. You'd be crazy. Next Episode: On next week’s Live from the Vault Andrew Maguire will give you another exclusive gold and silver market update. Don’t miss out: Subscribe to the Kinesis YouTube channel The opinions expressed in this publication are those of Andrew Maguire and do not purport to reflect the official policy or position of Kinesis. This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.

Sam Briggs
Sam Briggs

29/01/2021