The optimism that silver investors were enjoying earlier in the month when the metal was holding above $20 an ounce have been washed away in the last few weeks with the price now flirting with the lows reached in July and threatening to sink down to the levels last seen in July 2020.
As has been the case for much of the year, the key driver for silver’s price action is the words and actions of the Federal Reserve. Hopes that the US central bank may not need to be so aggressive with its future monetary policy in the wake of economic data that showed the US was holding up surprisingly well despite high inflation have been replaced by the stark reality following comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell that the bank will continue to raise interest rates for the foreseeable future.
Silver’s lack of yield means that the metal struggles in an environment where interest rates are rising so this reminder that plenty of action is still needed by central banks across the world to curb persistently high inflation has brought the price of silver shuddering down.
How silver reacts as it trades near the lows of last month will be instructive after the metal appeared to form a strong bottoming of its price when it sank to those levels. With a fundamental outlook that still points to healthy demand for silver due to its use in key industries such as solar energy and electric vehicles, investors may once again see these sub-$19 an ounce levels as a buying opportunity.
Rupert is a Market Analyst for Kinesis Money, responsible for updating the community with insights and analysis on the gold and silver markets. He brings with him a breadth of experience in writing about energy and commodities having worked as an oil markets reporter and then precious metals reporter during the seven years he worked at Bloomberg News.
As well as market analysis, Rupert writes longer-form thought leadership pieces on topics ranging from carbon markets, the growth of renewable energy and the challenges of avoiding greenwash while investing sustainably.
This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.