Gold is starting a new week on a downward trend having fallen below $1,700 an ounce. Later in the week will bring the release of the latest US inflation figures as well as the minutes of last month’s Federal Open Market Committee.
Furthermore, there are a whole host of senior central bankers speaking over the course of the week, including Fed representatives Lael Brainard and Charles Evans later today, so there are lots of potential drivers for significant intraday price movements.
The broader outlook for gold remains one where central banks across the world look set on a course of a series of interest rate hikes to try and bring stubbornly high inflation back down towards their target figures. The impact of these ever-increasing rates has been to make gold a less desirable commodity to hold with its lack of yield making other interest-paying assets such as bonds more attractive in its place.
Another high inflation figure out of the US later this week will only exacerbate the pressure on the Fed to keep on raising its benchmark rate aggressively. So far the US central bankers have been in union on the need to maintain their aggressive stance with Brainard and Evans speeches today scrutinized for any weakening of that resolve.
This increase in physical demand from buyers taking advantage of lower prices, allied to the general market jitteriness ensuring that risk-off remains an attractive option to plenty of investors, will provide a floor on gold’s price. However, as long as the central banks, particularly the Fed, keep up their hawkish stance, it is hard to see significant upside potential for gold.
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