{"id":129106,"date":"2024-08-12T09:59:07","date_gmt":"2024-08-12T09:59:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/?p=129106"},"modified":"2024-08-12T10:01:12","modified_gmt":"2024-08-12T10:01:12","slug":"silver-struggles-on-macro-woes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/tr\/market-analysis\/silver-news\/silver-struggles-on-macro-woes\/","title":{"rendered":"Silver Price News: Silver Struggles on Macro Woes"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-performance-amp-positioning\"><strong>Performance &amp; Positioning<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Silver starts the week trading around <a href=\"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/silver-price\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">$27.7\/toz<\/a>, having stabilized in the latter half of last week, but still down over 3% on last Monday\u2019s open. The most recent <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cftc.gov\/MarketReports\/CommitmentsofTraders\/index.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">CFTC Commitments of Traders (CoT) report<\/a>, published late on 9 august suggests that net speculative silver futures positions were flat on the previous week. Although this represents almost a 20% reduction on the 54-month high registered on 26 July, we note that such position-taking has remained at elevated levels since late March 2024 in contrast to considerable historic volatility. Moreover, physically backed silver ETFs\/ETCs appear to have returned to net inflows in recent days, having suffered some outflows earlier in the month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img width=\"918\" height=\"464\" src=\"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kinesis-Silver_2024-08-12_08-03-41.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-129122\" srcset=\"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kinesis-Silver_2024-08-12_08-03-41.png 918w, https:\/\/kinesis.money\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kinesis-Silver_2024-08-12_08-03-41-300x152.png 300w, https:\/\/kinesis.money\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kinesis-Silver_2024-08-12_08-03-41-150x76.png 150w, https:\/\/kinesis.money\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/Kinesis-Silver_2024-08-12_08-03-41-768x388.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 918px) 100vw, 918px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">KAG\/USD 1-hourly Kinesis Exchange<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-fundamental-drivers\"><strong>Fundamental Drivers<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>While silver is less impacted than gold by the firming of US rates seen over recent days, it is significantly more sensitive to ongoing concerns of global economic weakness. While this is still considered a \u2018tail risk\u2019 for markets, it is unsurprising that asset classes that have performed well and geared to economic growth have struggled recently in the face of soft economic data. This is as true of equities in respect of earnings prospects, and it is of silver in respect of industrial demand.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Upcoming events pertinent for silver investors include China loan data for July and the OPEC Monthly Report, both on 12 August. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic is also scheduled to give a speech that day. As both a voter and notable hawk on the current FOMC, his comments on the US economy might well be an indicator of current Fed thinking. 13 August brings us the EU Flash ZEW Economic Sentiment for August, with the German subcomponent being of particular interest.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-technical-analysis\"><strong>Technical Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Silver\u2019s technical position suggests that it is struggling to recover having pierced major horizontal support (now resistance) at $28.60\/toz on 25 July and again failing at this resistance level on 5 August.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Current trading sees silver testing ascending oblique resistance at $27.67. Although this resistance is minor, we note that momentum as indicated by both RSI and MACD also appears weak and mitigated only slightly by softer volumes. However, should this resistance level be negotiated, silver will then face stronger descending oblique resistance, currently at $27.95\/toz with the two oblique resistance lines converging on 20 August around $27.80\/toz. More generally, the silver chart appears increasingly congested over the next 1-2 weeks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the meantime, major horizontal support remains intact at $26.20 and major horizontal resistance at $28.60, the latter now coincident with the sharply declining 20-day Simple Moving Average. Further minor oblique resistance is noted currently at $29.28\/toz and major horizontal resistance at both $29.77\/toz and $32.06\/toz.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\t\t\t<section class=\"ktp-block ktp2_0-block\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ktp-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"ktp-grid\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"col-span-4 md:col-span-8 lg:col-span-10 lg:col-start-2  pb-4\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"p-container body-2xs neutral text-brand-primary-midnight-275 \">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p><em><a href=\"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/author\/mikeingram\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Mike<\/a> is a market strategist and media commentator with 30 years of experience analysing precious metals markets.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0He developed his expertise working as an investment banker in emerging markets such as South Africa, Russia and Chile. His focus on precious metals was extended through subsequent work within private wealth management and his own research consultancy.\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0During this time, he covered the gold, silver, platinum and palladium markets.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>This publication is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be a solicitation, offering or recommendation of any security, commodity, derivative, investment management service or advisory service and is not commodity trading advice. This publication does not intend to provide investment, tax or legal advice on either a general or specific basis.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>Read our Editorial Guidelines\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/kinesis.money\/editorial-guidelines\/\">here.<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Silver starts the week trading around $27.7\/toz, having stabilized in the latter half of last week, but still down over 3% on last Monday\u2019s open. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":51,"featured_media":129169,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[91,214],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-129106","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-market-analysis","category-silver-news"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This 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